Conference on Trade, poverty and growth in History

This conference is part of the activities of our Research Programme: Economic integration and growth.

Trade has always been the foundation of international integration and globalization debates. Did globalization benefit both rich and poor nations in the past, but the former more than the later? Or did globalization actually hurt the periphery? The literature is divided on these questions. Supporters stress the positive gains from trade, trade induced technology transfers, and the attraction of foreign capital. Critics stress the negative impact of globalization on the poor periphery through primary product price volatility. They also point to deindustrialization forces (and inefficient ISI policies to offset them) and the encouragement of rent-seeking (resource curse effects). 

This workshop aims at offering scholars working on trade in history an opportunity to discuss their recent work thus informing these debates. It aims to stimulate research on the relation between globalization, growth and divergence in the "long" 19th century, from Waterloo to World War One, and in the interwar years. We believe that the comparative experience stimulated by the workshop will sharpen our country-specific knowledge.

Organizers:

• Giovanni Federico (European University Institute) 
• Antonio Tena (Carlos III and Instituto Figuerola) 
• Jeffrey Williamson (Harvard University and University of Wisconsin)

Conference on Trade, poverty and growth in History 
Madrid, May 17h and 18th of 2012 
Conference venue: Fundación Ramón Areces (C/Vitruvio, 5, 28006, Madrid)

Programme updated 14.05.2012

Trade Accuracy - Chair: Giovanni Federico (European University Institute)

Agustín Llona (Boston University)
- On the Accuracy of Chilean Foreign Trade Statistics during the Nitrate Boom: 1870 - 1935

Antonio Tena (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid) and Henry Willebald (Universidad de la República)
- On the accuracy of export growth in Argentina 1870-1913 [updated june 2012]

 World and African Trade - Chair: John C. Brown (Clark University and GEP)

Gareth Austin (The Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies)
- Vent for Surplus or Productivity Breakthough? The Take-off of Ghanaian Cocoa Exports c.1890-1936

Giovanni Federico (European University Institute) and Antonio Tena (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid)
- A new index of world trade, 1800-1950

Morten Jerven (Simon Fraser University)
- External Trade and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1895-1965: Some preliminary estimates

Trade causes and Trade effects - Chair: Jeffrey Williamson (Harvard and Wisconsin)

John C. Brown (Clark University and GEP) and Daniel Bernhofen (University of Nottingham) - coauthor: Masuyuki Tanimoto (University of Tokyo) 
- A direct test of the Stolper-Samuelson Theorem: the natural experiment of Japan

Christopher M. Meissner (University of California, Davis and NBER)
- Market Potential and Economic Performance in the 19th Century

Concha Betrán (Universidad de Valencia) and Michael Huberman (Université de Montréal)
- The Margins of Spanish Trade: The Import Side, 1880-1914

Early Trade Globalization - Chair: Gareth Austin (The Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies)

Manuel Llorca (Universitat Pompeu Fabra & Fondecyt (University of Chile))
- The impact of ‘early’ nineteenth -century globalization on foreign trade in the Southern Cone: a study of British trade statistics  

Pilar Nogues Marco (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid)
- Euro-Asian Globalization in the Early Modern Period (1664-1820s): Trade Boom or Price Convergence?

Inequality and Trade - Chair: Luis Bértola (Universidad de la República)

Pablo Astorga (Institut Barcelona d'Estudis Internacionals (IBEI)) 
- Resources, inequality and growth: evidence from post-1900 Latin America UPDATED 14.05.2012!!

Graciela Márquez  (El Colegio de México)
- Growth and living standards: evidence from post-revolutionary Mexico

Ahmed S. Rahman (United States Naval Academy) - coauthors: Kevin H. O’Rourke (Oxford University) and Alan M.Taylor (University of Virginia) 
- Trade, Technology and the Great Divergence

Industrialization and Trade - Chair: Christopher M. Meissner (University of California, Davis and NBER)

Ulas Karakoc (London School of Economics and Political Science)
- Turkey in the interwar period: Industrial growth, market size and the limits of tariff protection

Cristián Arturo Ducoing Ruiz (Universitat Pompeu Fabra) and Marc Badia – Miró (Universitat de Barcelona)
-Avoiding the Dutch disease? The Chilean industrial sector in the nitrate trade cycle. 1870 – 1938.

Jeffrey Williamson (Harvard and Wisconsin) - coauthors: Agustín Bénétrix (Trinity College Dublin) and Kevin  H. O’Rourke  (Oxford University) 
-Unconditional Convergence: The Spread of Manufacturing to the Periphery 1870-2007

South America and Trade Integration - Chair: Pablo Astorga (Institut Barcelona d'Estudis Internacionals (IBEI)) 

Marc Badia – Miró (Universitat de Barcelona) and Ana Carreras (Universitat de Barcelona) - coauthor: José Peres Cajías (Universitat de Barcelona)
- Factors behind South-American trade integration failure, 1913-50

Vicente Pinilla (Universidad de Zaragoza) - coauthor: Gema Aparicio (Universidad de Zaragoza)
- Navigating in Troubled waters: South American Exports of Food and Agricultural Products in the World Market, 1900-1938