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Última actualización: 18/04/2012


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ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

MONTHLY DEBATE

ECONOMIC GROWTH

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION

INFLATION

 

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EURO AREA

 

Inflation                      Read more+

 

A revision of our expectations for unprocessed food has increased the total HICP forecast for 2012 and 2013 to 2.4% (±0.38) and 1.4% (±0.98), respectively.
April 17, 2012

 

Industrial Production           Read more+

While euro area industrial production could stabilise at positive year-on-year growth rates after March-April, Spanish industry will not come close to zero growth until the end of 2013.

The euro area Industrial Production Index (IPI) fell in January to a year-on-year rate of 1.2%, although we had forecast 0 growth. This is the second consecutive month that the figure has fallen.

March 29, 2012

 

 

Economic Growth           Read more+

The GDP average growth forecast for 2012 has been revised upwards by 0.2 pp to 0.2%(±1.2). The likelihood of technical recession in the first quarter is 50%
March 21, 2012

 

USA

 Inflation-IPC          Read more+

Core inflation expectations grow slightly
The annual general CPI rate is expected to temporarily fall to 1.7% in May, due to energy prices.
April 16, 2012

 

Inflation-PCE          Read more+

IIn February, the core PCE index registered a monthly growth rate of 0.13%, very slightly higher than the forecast 0.11%.

On the other hand, the Department of Commerce revised January’s annual rate upwards from 1.88% to 1.93%.
March 30, 2012

 BIAM 210. March 2012

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